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Big Four feathers unruffled as BDO chokes on cornflakes

Double congratulations to Michael Cleary and David Maxwell. The senior partners of Grant Thornton and Robson Rhodes have not only tabled the biggest accountancy firm merger since Price Waterhouse and Coopers & Lybrand in 1998 (we'll leave aside the post-Enron, shotgun marriage of Deloitte and Andersen), but they also managed to keep it under wraps until this weekend.

No mean feat, given the general leakiness of most partnerships.

It's an interesting and significant deal, though it will ruffle fewer Big Four feathers than some commentators have suggested. The FT's Alphaville column remarks this morning how 'the Big Four accounting firms face a threat to their dominance in the blue-chip audit market' once the deal is completed in July. Other papers have taken this at face-value too, albeit adding a caveat or three about the relative size of the combined firm and Ernst & Young, the smallest of the Big Four.

But will blue-chips suddenly rush to the new Grant Thornton for audit services? I doubt it, though that may well come in a trickle rather than a flood in time.

It will, however, have caused a few BDO Stoy Hayward partners to choke on their cornflakes on reading the news in yesterday's Sunday Telegraph and Sunday Times. I presume Cleary will have let Jeremy Newman, his counterpart at BDO, know the results of the partners' vote; the two have presented something of a united front in the battle against Big Four dominance. All eyes will be on Newman's blog in the coming days for signs of his reaction. Certainly, though, it is a blow to his ambitions as it puts increased distance between the two firms. BDO's fees for 2006 were £275m – GT's, including Robson Rhodes, would have been £360m.

On the basis that to make a material difference to your revenues you have to merger with a top 16 firm (these are the ones generating fees in excess of £50m), who might BDO be eyeing?

Well, fees per partner at Smith & Williamson and Tenon are comparatively low, though the latter is listed and the former could soon be, which would complicate arrangements. However the really vulnerable firms look to be PKF, which grew by only 3% last year, though its fees per partner are pretty healthy. And Moore Stephens which grew by just 7.3% and is generating just £535,928 per partner. That can't be generating profits that, with all the risks attached, are worth getting out of bed for.

It's going to be an interesting summer.

Brown admits maths failing but endorses Accountancy Age

Manna from heaven for opponents to Gordon Brown yesterday; our chancellor admitted he's not very good at maths.

According to the Machester Evening News, the PM-in-waiting was asked by 13-year-old Jordan Beaumont of Chorlton High School's pupil-run TV station if you had to be good at maths to be chancellor. Mr Brown laughed as he answered: "I did maths at school and for one year at university but I don't think I was ever very good at it - and some people would say it shows."

igAt least he saved us from having to insert our own joke there - though being the financial sophisticates that we are at Accountancy Age our punchline would have involved a devastatingly humorous reference to his questionable reform of ACT a decade ago.

In the interests of transparency I'll declare highlights of the results of a quick straw poll of our writing team: two hold maths A levels - one A (very good), one E (very dim); one abandoned double maths A level after a fortnight; and one failed maths O level.

So I won't hear a bad word said against Brown's shaky grasp of the numbers. Especially as on meeting him at a Downing Street reception last week, he told me Accountancy Age was 'one of my favourite journals'.

I look forward to a slew of comments linking the two.

Gun fired on merger talks across the profession

From London to Scotland, firms are at it again - though so far at least, the level of activity is perhaps better described as a merger murmour rather than merger mania.

Most significantly Mazars has of course 'merged' with MRI Moores Rowland in a deal that will create a £90m and 100-partner firm. It takes the combined firm to touching distance of the Accountancy Age Top 50's top ten. (By the way I love the way professional services firms cling to the term merged even when , in this case , one party - Mazars - is six times the size of the other).

You might have missed the other merger of the week: the combination of Ayr-based firms Alfred T. Scott and Sinclair Maclean. Nevertheless, the two tie-ups could herald a spate of others.

One thing's for sure though: these firms won't be the last to hop into bed with another.

For while the senior partners of all the firms involved made the usual noises – 'a significant step forward in our growth strategy' in the case of the former, the bringing together of 'talents' and provision of 'synergy' in the latter – there is a wider issue at play.

Most firms right now are afraid that the ladder is about to pulled up from above them. That's why BDO and Grant Thornton are making so many noises about competition at the top end. And it's why firms in the tier below them are talking to each other, mulling mergers and considering collaboration more than perhaps they have done in the recent past.

On Accountancy Age TV this week, Moores Rowland's Fiona Hotston Moore acknowledges that she realised 18 months ago the firm needed to grow through merger to twice its then size to continuing holding its own in its chosen market. (It might explain the firm's curious and longstanding reluctance to supply figures for the Accountancy Age Top 50 too).

The aldder analogy holds true for the rest of the Top 50 – and among the firms below that level too.

So will it be a summer of love-ins; declarations of mutual admiration, aligned strategies and talk of one and one making three? Probably not – but don't expect Mazars and Moores Rowland, Alfred T. Scott and Sinclair Maclean to be the last tie-ups.

Expect that to change in 2008, though, as the pace of reform steps up.

Could Oz law firm float be way forward for UK firms?

When it comes to accountancy firm ownership structures all bets are off.

That's the nub of the leader column in this week's Accountancy Age, which will be published on Thursday.

With LLP conversions continuing, the likes of Smith & Williamson still mulling a flotation and our revelations last month that the European Union is at least willing to consider allowing audit firms to raise external capital and end the age-old partnership model, the ownership debate is a central one once again.

In a week that marks the sixth anniversary of the awarding of the first LLP certificates (18 were issued on that day back in 2001), it all seemed terribly timely.

However, it seems we only knew the half of it.

Last Saturday partners at legal giant Linklaters rubber-stamped a move to convert to an LLP from 1 May, 2007. But that's as nothing compared to the bombshell news from Australia (covered by our sister title Legal Week) that investor and workers’ rights law firm Slater & Gordon is set to become the first law firm in the world to float on a public market.

In doing so the firm is taking advantage of Australia’s recent legislative changes to raise money and open itself to non-lawyer investors – and making a move that's bound to have massive repercussions for professional services firms around the world.

It's hard to imagine that the current accountancy ownership structures (which basically run to two options for audit firms– partnership or LLP) will prevail. We may not see substantial in the next 12 months but, with liability and competition debates still unresolved, change feels inevitable at some stage.

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