Big Four feathers unruffled as BDO chokes on cornflakes
Double congratulations to
Michael Cleary and David Maxwell. The senior partners of Grant Thornton and
Robson Rhodes have not only tabled the biggest accountancy firm merger since
Price Waterhouse and Coopers & Lybrand in 1998 (we'll leave aside the
post-Enron, shotgun marriage of Deloitte and Andersen), but they also managed
to keep it under wraps until this weekend.
No mean feat, given the general
leakiness of most partnerships.
It's an interesting and significant deal, though it will ruffle fewer Big Four feathers than some commentators have suggested. The FT's Alphaville column remarks this morning how 'the Big Four accounting firms face a threat to their dominance in the blue-chip audit market' once the deal is completed in July. Other papers have taken this at face-value too, albeit adding a caveat or three about the relative size of the combined firm and Ernst & Young, the smallest of the Big Four.
But will blue-chips suddenly rush
to the new Grant Thornton for audit services? I doubt it, though that may well
come in a trickle rather than a flood in time.
It will, however, have caused a
few BDO Stoy Hayward partners to choke on their cornflakes on reading the news
in yesterday's Sunday Telegraph and Sunday Times. I presume Cleary will have
let Jeremy Newman, his counterpart at BDO, know the results of the partners' vote;
the two have presented something of a united front in the battle against Big
Four dominance. All eyes will be on Newman's blog in the coming days for signs
of his reaction. Certainly, though, it is a blow to his ambitions as it puts
increased distance between the two firms. BDO's fees for 2006 were £275m – GT's,
including Robson Rhodes, would have been £360m.
On the basis that to make a
material difference to your revenues you have to merger with a top 16 firm (these
are the ones generating fees in excess of £50m), who might BDO be eyeing?
Well, fees per partner at Smith
& Williamson and Tenon are comparatively low, though the latter is listed and
the former could soon be, which would complicate arrangements. However the
really vulnerable firms look to be PKF, which grew by only 3% last year, though
its fees per partner are pretty healthy. And Moore Stephens which grew by just 7.3%
and is generating just £535,928 per partner. That can't be generating profits
that, with all the risks attached, are worth getting out of bed for.
It's going to be an interesting
summer.



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